CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-05-17T21:05:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-05-17T21:05ZCME Note: CME associated with M7.2 flare of AR3685. There is a very brief possible flux rope signature starting around 2024-05-20T06Z with separation of magnetic field components, drop in density and temperature and mild increase of magnetic field to 8nT.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-05-20T06:16Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-05-20T16:27Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 60.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 7.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -5582.67 hour(s)
Difference: -10.18 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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